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FORECAST REPLAY
Open Studio
FORECAST NETWORK

Replay the weather.

Every hour since 1940, the analysis from this morning, and the next fifteen days, on one timeline.

Draw any six hours of weather since 1940 — one analysis, a loop of them, the mean of a hundred cases, or the days that looked most like this one — and read the script that drew it. Behind the map, Forecast Replay stitches ERA5 reanalysis, ECMWF's real-time analysis and the latest IFS and AIFS forecasts into a single scrubbable record you can frame, theme and mint as a 4K clip, loop or still.

3840×2160 4K UHD frames
0.25° · 6 h ERA5 since 1940
MP4·GIF·PNG Minted from PNG frames
Replay globe coloured by 2 m temperature with isobars of mean sea-level pressure, from the newest analysis
1940
ERA5 reanalysis ECMWF analysis IFS / AIFS forecast

NEXT

Maps — any ERA5 analysis since 1940, looped, composited, lagged or analogued, drawn by grads3 from the Replay slab. The page is built and on its rails; it is waiting on its engine and its slab. See where it stands →

THE LATITUDE LOOM · ERA5 SINCE 1940

A global average hides the planet.

One number a year says the Earth is warming. It cannot say where.

Open the Loom
  • +0.51 °C

    The whole planet

    Every October of 2016–2025, area-weighted over the whole globe, against the fixed 1991–2020 mean. This is the number that usually stands in for all of it.

  • +1.63 °C

    66°–68°N

    The belt just inside the Arctic Circle, over the same ten Octobers against the same reference. Three times the global figure, in one 2° band.

  • +0.24 °C

    40°–42°S

    A belt of the Southern Ocean, same ten Octobers, same reference. Half the global figure. Averaging it with the Arctic reports a planet neither belt lives on.

Every year a column, every 2° band of latitude a thread: 86 Octobers from pole to pole, and the same slice again as one calendar day. Each cell is an exact area-weighted mean of its belt — all longitudes, land and ocean — painted with the site's own departure ramp. A band missing a single cell has no value and says so.

THE SEAM

One timeline. Three sources. You never see the joins.

The playhead slides from 1940 to two weeks from now. Behind it, Replay hands off between datasets on the same grid, so a loop can start in the archive and end in the forecast.

Reading live coverage…

01 · ARCHIVE

ERA5 reanalysis

Hourly, 0.25°, from 1940 to within a few days of now. Read straight from the ARCO ERA5 Zarr store, chunked for fast slicing through time.

02 · BRIDGE

ECMWF real-time analysis

Fills the days until ERA5 catches up, cycle by cycle, on the same 0.25° grid so the handoff is invisible on screen.

03 · AHEAD

IFS and AIFS forecasts

The newest runs out to 15 days. Runs since 1 March 2024 stay replayable, so you can play what a forecast said against what actually happened.

CUE · FRAME · THEME · MINT

From a date to a 4K clip in four moves.

  1. 01

    Cue

    Drop the playhead on any hour since 1940, or start from a moment in the Replay Deck.

  2. 02

    Frame

    Keyframe the camera: spin the globe, push in on a storm, hold on a coastline. Stack layers like tracks in an edit.

  3. 03

    Theme

    Subscribe to a theme channel. Palette, type, lower thirds and credits come with it, so every clip lands on brand.

  4. 04

    Mint

    Frames render to lossless PNG, then mint to MP4, a seamless GIF loop, or a single still at 3840×2160.

Ghost Forecast: solid isobars show the verifying analysis, dashed blue isobars show the forecast issued five days earlier
GHOST FORECAST

Replay the forecast, not just the weather.

Pin a past forecast run as a ghost layer and play it over what verified. Watch a low drift off track, a ridge build early, a cold front arrive late. The miss becomes the story.

  • Pin an IFS or AIFS run by the time it was issued
  • Track error in kilometres between the forecast low and the real one
  • Ghost runs are available from 1 March 2024, the start of the open ECMWF archive. Older events such as Sandy have no archived forecast to pin.
THE REPLAY DECK

Start from a moment.

See all replays
ALSO HERE

Nothing was taken down.

These came before the archive map and they all still work — same addresses, same data, same timers behind them. They are off the nav because one site can only lead with one thing, not because any of them was finished with.

    THEME CHANNELS

    Same atmosphere. Your look.

    Subscribe to themes

    Pick a day. Press play.

    Replay Studio runs in the browser on any desktop. Renders happen next to the data, so your machine just watches.

    Open Replay Studio